The following is from the Feb. 20, 2008, edition of The Christian Science Monitor. SMU Political Science Professor Cal Jillson provided expertise for this story.
By Linda Feldmann
Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor
WASHINGTON - Barack Obama's resounding 17-point victory in the Wisconsin primary has pushed Hillary Rodham Clinton's campaign to the brink of extinction.
Senator Obama of Illinois also won the caucuses in his native state of Hawaii, as expected, making him undefeated in the last 10 Democratic presidential primaries and caucuses. Obama's victory in Wisconsin was also expected, but his unexpectedly large margin of victory there signals serious trouble for Senator Clinton. As with the three "Potomac primaries" last week, Obama achieved that feat by cutting into Clinton's historic base of support: women and low-income voters.
Now the campaign shifts to the four March 4 primaries, which are dominated by the delegate-rich states of Ohio and Texas. There, Clinton faces the ultimate question: What can she do to change the trajectory of the nomination race?
"She certainly faces an Alamo moment in Texas and Ohio," says Cal Jillson, a political scientist at Southern Methodist University in Dallas. "This was a significant win for Obama, because it was 17 points and he cut into her base. If that continues in Ohio and Texas, she will be done."
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